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2023-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% - โœ—
Margin 70.7% 29.3% -4.9 โœ— (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.6% 50.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mayer * 36 7-17 4-11 6-7 8 0 1 5 2 24 19 -
Jayden Epps * 35 3-11 1-4 5-6 1 2 3 0 2 12 5 -
Coleman Hawkins * 29 3-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 3 6 10 -
D. Dainja * 24 5-8 0-0 1-3 5 1 2 1 3 11 9 -
RJ Melendez * 14 0-6 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Ty Rodgers 27 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 1 4 5 -
Luke Goode 23 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 7 8 -
Brandon Lieb 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Sencire Harris 5 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 37 12-19 0-0 2-5 12 2 3 5 5 26 24 -
Jalen Hood-Schifino * 37 5-17 1-3 2-2 7 3 0 0 5 13 1 -
Miller Kopp * 31 4-6 4-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 12 12 -
Trey Galloway * 31 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 2 4 -
Race Thompson * 22 4-7 0-0 2-4 6 1 1 0 1 10 10 -
Malik Reneau 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 4 6 -
Tamar Bates 17 1-6 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 4 0 -
Kaleb Banks 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jordan Geronimo 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter