Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Walker * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Joey Hauser * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jaden Akins * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Mady Sissoko * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Malik Hall | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Pierre Brooks | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Carson Cooper | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jaxon Kohler | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Davis Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Whitens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Edey * | 32 | 15-24 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 34 | - |
| Fletcher Loyer * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Braden Smith * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ethan Morton * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Caleb Furst * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Mason Gillis | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| David Jenkins Jr. | 18 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Newman | 11 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Brian Waddell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter