Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Walker * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Hoggard * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| J. Hauser * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Akins * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| M. Sissoko * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Hall | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| P. Brooks | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. Cooper | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Kohler | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Holloman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Whitens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Edey * | 32 | 15-24 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 34 | - |
| F. Loyer * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| B. Smith * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Morton * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Furst * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| M. Gillis | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| D. Jenkins Jr. | 18 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| B. Newman | 11 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Kaufman-Renn | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Waddell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter