Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -5 (70-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Loyer * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Z. Edey * | 32 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| E. Morton * | 28 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Smith * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Furst * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Gillis | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| D. Jenkins Jr. | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Newman | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Kaufman-Renn | 9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McDaniel * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Bufkin * | 37 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| H. Dickinson * | 33 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| J. Baker * | 29 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Williams II * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Tschetter | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Reed Jr. | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ja. Howard | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| I. Barnes | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter