Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -1.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -1 (63-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Edey * | 36 | 13-26 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 24 | - |
| Fletcher Loyer * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Caleb Furst * | 28 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Ethan Morton * | 28 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Braden Smith * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | - |
| David Jenkins Jr. | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Newman | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mason Gillis | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Hauser * | 38 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tyson Walker * | 37 | 12-23 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 8 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jaden Akins * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Mady Sissoko * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Pierre Brooks | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Carson Cooper | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jaxon Kohler | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter