Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Walker * | 36 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Joey Hauser * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jaden Akins * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 30 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Mady Sissoko * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Malik Hall | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Carson Cooper | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Pierre Brooks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaxon Kohler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman Hawkins * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Shannon Jr. * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| D. Dainja * | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| M. Mayer * | 30 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Sencire Harris * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jayden Epps | 31 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| RJ Melendez | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ty Rodgers | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter