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2023-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +6 (59-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Bufkin * 37 4-11 0-3 7-8 2 1 3 1 1 15 10 -
Terrance Williams II * 31 1-4 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 1 2 3 3 -
Hunter Dickinson * 30 8-16 1-3 1-2 7 0 0 1 1 18 9 -
Jett Howard * 28 3-8 2-6 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 10 6 -
Dug McDaniel * 26 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 0 2 -
Joey Baker 14 0-5 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Isaiah Barnes 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Tarris Reed Jr. 11 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Will Tschetter 5 1-2 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Jace Howard 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joey Hauser * 34 3-13 1-7 0-0 10 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
A.J. Hoggard * 31 6-10 1-1 2-2 4 6 2 0 1 15 16 -
Jaden Akins * 29 1-5 1-2 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Tyson Walker * 28 5-12 2-5 2-3 0 2 0 0 2 14 2 -
Mady Sissoko * 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 3 2 3 -
Malik Hall 23 5-9 1-2 4-4 3 0 0 0 3 15 6 -
Pierre Brooks 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jaxon Kohler 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
Tre Holloman 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Carson Cooper 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter