Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.8% | 24.2% | -6.3 | ✗ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +13 (73-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman Hawkins * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| T. Shannon Jr. * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. Mayer * | 30 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| D. Dainja * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Sencire Harris * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| RJ Melendez | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jayden Epps | 22 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Skyy Clark | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ty Rodgers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Warden | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Lieb | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Audige * | 33 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Boo Buie * | 28 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 11-12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Robbie Beran * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Matthew Nicholson * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Ty Berry * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Julian Roper II | 29 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 22 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Tydus Verhoeven | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Roy Dixon III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter