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2022-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 4.3% 95.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 9.4% 90.6% - ✓
Margin 1.1% 98.9% +24.7 ✓ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% - ✓
Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% - ✓

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +18 (68-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paxson Wojcik 36 3-11 1-6 3-4 13 4 1 0 1 10 16 -
Kino Lilly Jr. 34 1-7 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 3 2 -
Kalu Anya 27 3-7 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
Dan Friday 25 2-10 0-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 4 2 -
Nana Owusu-Anane 21 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 -
Aaron Cooley 18 2-5 0-1 1-1 0 1 0 2 1 5 2 -
Malachi Ndur 17 4-7 0-2 2-5 4 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
Perry Cowan 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Felix Kloman 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
AJ Lesburt Jr. 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Sam Klores 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Landon Lewis 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Lyndel Erold 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joey Hauser 33 9-13 2-4 2-2 5 4 0 0 2 22 16 -
A.J. Hoggard 25 6-12 1-4 4-4 4 4 0 1 1 17 13 -
Tyson Walker 22 4-8 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 10 3 -
Jaden Akins 21 3-7 3-5 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 9 8 -
Pierre Brooks 20 2-9 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 4 4 -
Mady Sissoko 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 0 0 8 -
Tre Holloman 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 6 0 0 0 0 6 -
Jaxon Kohler 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 1 2 7 -
Carson Cooper 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Davis Smith 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Jason Whitens 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Nick Sanders 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Steven Izzo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter