Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +27.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +18 (73-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cone * | 37 | 8-19 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Carson Towt * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Xavier Fuller * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Nik Mains * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Liam Lloyd * | 29 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Jack Wistrcill | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Keith Haymon | 8 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Ezekiel Richards | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Trenton McLaughlin | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Oakland Fort | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Diego Campisano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Hall * | 34 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Tyson Walker * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Joey Hauser * | 31 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Mady Sissoko * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Pierre Brooks | 17 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jaden Akins | 16 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Jaxon Kohler | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Carson Cooper | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Davis Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Sanders | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steven Izzo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jason Whitens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter