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2022-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 65.1% 34.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% - ✗
Margin 32.1% 67.9% +4.1 ✗ (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - ✗
Efficiency 33.8% 66.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 42.0% 58.0% - ✗

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chucky Hepburn 41 4-12 1-3 2-3 6 4 4 0 0 11 13 -
Tyler Wahl 40 9-14 1-2 2-5 7 3 4 0 4 21 17 -
Connor Essegian 32 5-11 2-6 2-2 6 1 1 0 3 14 8 -
Max Klesmit 30 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 7 6 -
Steven Crowl 28 6-11 0-3 0-1 6 7 0 1 2 12 13 -
Jordan Davis 23 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Carter Gilmore 21 4-7 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 8 5 -
Isaac Lindsey 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kamari McGee 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Markus Ilver 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Perkins 44 7-15 1-3 2-3 6 3 1 0 4 17 8 -
Connor McCaffery 41 6-14 2-8 3-3 10 5 3 0 3 17 18 -
Filip Rebraca 38 4-7 0-0 2-3 8 4 0 1 3 10 13 -
Patrick McCaffery 33 8-16 3-8 5-6 7 0 1 1 1 24 16 -
Payton Sandfort 23 0-7 0-5 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
Dasonte Bowen 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 2 5 -
Josh Dix 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Carter Kingsbury 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter