Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -7 (63-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Buie | 36 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| T. Berry | 30 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Beran | 29 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Audige | 28 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Roper II | 26 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| T. Verhoeven | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Nicholson | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Barnhizer | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Hunger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Dixon III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hauser | 38 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Hoggard | 31 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| P. Brooks | 29 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| T. Walker | 26 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Akins | 23 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Kohler | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Holloman | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Cooper | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Whitens | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter