Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.0% | 28.0% | -5.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hagemann | 35 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Joiner | 34 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| K. McDaniel | 33 | 9-19 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| M. Ekh | 28 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| I. Alexander | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Parks | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Kimball | 12 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Ozment | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Hallock | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Visscher | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Ayrault | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cook | 40 | 8-21 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 11 | - |
| A. McKenzie | 39 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| K. Bostic | 36 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| G. Bryant | 34 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 15 | - |
| B. Shoup-Hill | 28 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Peebles | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Oden | 8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| G. Lopes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ndour | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter