Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | -0.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Jeffries * | 35 | 8-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Cameron Matthews * | 33 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Shakeel Moore * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Smith * | 31 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 9-15 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Dashawn Davis * | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Eric Reed Jr. | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| William McNair Jr. | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Stevenson | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrin Lawrence * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Wright * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Ezra Manjon * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Quentin Millora-Brown * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Emmanuel Ansong * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Myles Stute | 23 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Trey Thomas | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Colin Smith | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Paul Lewis | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Malik Dia | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter