Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -9 (79-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Reeves * | 40 | 12-17 | 2-4 | 11-11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 22 | - |
| J. Toppin * | 38 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 17 | - |
| C. Livingston * | 34 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | - |
| O. Tshiebwe * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Thiero | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| L. Ware | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Collins | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Smith Jr. * | 35 | 10-23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| A. Black * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 7-12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| D. Davis * | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Council IV | 34 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Walsh | 31 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. Johnson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Pinion | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Graham | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Ford | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter