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2023-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 20.5% 79.5% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 11.7% 88.3% +11.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% -
Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% -
Log Adjusted 20.7% 79.3% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Smith Jr. * 40 9-23 2-3 4-5 6 1 2 0 0 24 10 -
D. Davis * 39 8-15 3-4 2-3 5 0 0 0 0 21 11 -
J. Walsh * 34 2-7 0-1 0-0 7 1 3 0 1 4 7 -
A. Black * 16 2-7 0-1 3-4 2 2 3 0 3 7 4 -
M. Mitchell * 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 2 3 0 1 -
R. Council IV 30 5-9 0-1 10-14 1 0 2 0 2 20 12 -
M. Mitchell 18 2-4 0-0 1-3 8 0 1 1 1 5 10 -
J. Graham 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 3 1 2 4 -
J. Pinion 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Ford 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Miller * 38 8-15 1-6 7-7 6 0 0 1 3 24 13 -
M. Sears * 34 2-7 0-4 9-10 2 2 1 0 2 13 9 -
N. Clowney * 30 3-8 0-2 4-5 13 2 2 1 3 10 17 -
C. Bediako * 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 0 6 13 -
J. Bradley * 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Quinerly 28 7-14 1-4 1-1 3 7 0 0 3 16 9 -
R. Griffen 16 1-3 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 3 1 -
N. Burnett 14 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Welch 7 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 7 7 -
N. Pringle 7 3-3 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 1 7 7 -

* = starter