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2023-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 44.2% 55.8% -
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% -
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 (31.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 32.3% 67.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% -
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +32 (86-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4431776 * 29 5-14 3-7 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 13 4 -
A. Flanigan * 27 2-6 0-1 3-4 1 0 1 0 1 7 2 -
W. Green Jr. * 27 3-12 1-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 9 0 -
Player #4433569 * 26 4-10 1-3 3-5 1 1 0 0 2 12 2 -
Z. Jasper * 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K.D. Johnson 21 3-5 1-1 0-1 1 1 1 0 4 7 1 -
Player #4433174 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
L. Berman 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
T. Donaldson 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Moore 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4683692 * 37 6-12 2-2 5-6 3 9 4 0 3 19 20 -
Player #4592686 * 36 8-13 4-7 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 21 10 -
Player #4432827 * 36 8-10 0-0 6-6 17 0 2 1 1 22 31 -
Player #4592461 * 33 6-11 1-1 0-0 12 5 1 0 1 13 19 -
Player #4433622 * 23 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
Player #5060631 10 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 3 1 -
CJ Fredrick Jr. 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Ware 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
U. Onyenso 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Watkins 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Collins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Canada 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Horn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter