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2023-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 76.4% 23.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% - ✗
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.8 ✓ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 70.0% 30.0% - ✗
Efficiency 77.9% 22.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 86.1% 13.9% - ✗

Actual: LSU Tigers +7 (84-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Thomas * 39 4-10 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 11 4 -
Liam Robbins * 33 6-14 2-5 9-15 11 0 0 9 4 23 25 -
Tyrin Lawrence * 32 8-12 2-3 1-1 2 2 1 0 2 19 10 -
Ezra Manjon * 27 3-4 0-0 1-3 3 7 1 0 1 7 13 -
Myles Stute * 14 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Jordan Wright 19 1-6 1-2 3-4 8 2 0 0 0 6 10 -
Colin Smith 16 4-7 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 11 7 -
Quentin Millora-Brown 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Paul Lewis 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Emmanuel Ansong 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
KJ Williams * 36 13-25 5-10 4-6 10 0 1 0 1 35 20 -
Adam Miller * 33 4-10 1-4 9-10 5 3 2 0 3 18 15 -
Derek Fountain * 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 2 6 -
Cam Hayes * 19 1-6 0-0 2-2 5 3 1 0 1 4 6 -
Tyrell Ward * 18 3-3 2-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 8 9 -
Justice Hill 27 2-7 1-5 1-2 3 4 0 0 1 6 5 -
Trae Hannibal 22 0-0 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 0 0 3 10 -
Jalen Reed 15 3-4 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 2 1 8 7 -
Shawn Phillips Jr. 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter