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2023-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% - ✗
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.2 ✗ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 59.1% 40.9% - ✓
Efficiency 85.5% 14.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 83.1% 16.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 83.2% 16.8% - ✓

Actual: Florida Gators -8 (74-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antonio Reeves * 39 6-15 2-6 2-2 1 4 1 1 2 16 6 -
Chris Livingston * 39 4-11 0-3 2-3 15 2 0 1 0 10 17 -
Oscar Tshiebwe * 38 12-13 0-0 1-3 4 3 1 1 3 25 18 -
Cason Wallace * 38 2-8 0-1 4-4 2 6 2 1 6 8 5 -
Jacob Toppin * 35 7-10 2-3 3-4 11 1 0 0 2 19 19 -
Adou Thiero 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Lance Ware 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Daimion Collins 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lofton * 33 3-7 0-2 3-4 2 5 2 0 3 9 8 -
Riley Kugel * 30 7-12 4-6 6-7 2 2 1 0 1 24 16 -
Jason Jitoboh * 25 4-7 0-0 0-1 2 1 1 1 0 8 6 -
Myreon Jones * 23 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 3 0 0 3 7 -
Will Richard * 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
Kowacie Reeves 24 6-9 2-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 16 8 -
Niels Lane 23 3-6 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 8 5 -
Aleksander Szymczyk 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Alex Fudge 5 0-1 0-1 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Denzel Aberdeen 3 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

* = starter