Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Matthews * | 39 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Smith * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Dashawn Davis * | 36 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Shakeel Moore * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Eric Reed Jr. | 30 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| William McNair Jr. | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Stevenson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Brown * | 41 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Nick Honor * | 38 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D'Moi Hodge * | 37 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Mohamed Diarra * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tre Gomillion | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Noah Carter | 25 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Sean East II | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mabor Majak | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter