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2023-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 29.8% 70.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 61.7% 38.3% - ✗
Margin 77.4% 22.6% -6.8 ✗ (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% - ✗
Efficiency 79.4% 20.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 60.2% 39.8% - ✗

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylin Williams * 31 8-12 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 17 14 -
Wendell Green Jr. * 30 2-14 0-3 1-2 8 1 3 0 2 5 1 -
Johni Broome * 29 8-15 1-3 3-4 6 2 1 0 4 20 10 -
Allen Flanigan * 26 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 2 -
Zep Jasper * 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
K.D. Johnson 24 2-5 1-3 1-4 1 2 1 0 0 6 5 -
Lior Berman 14 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
Dylan Cardwell 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Tre Donaldson 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
Chris Moore 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 4 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ezra Manjon * 33 2-9 1-1 2-4 3 5 0 2 1 7 7 -
Tyrin Lawrence * 32 4-11 0-1 1-2 6 3 1 1 1 9 8 -
Myles Stute * 29 2-8 2-6 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
Liam Robbins * 27 3-10 1-2 17-20 12 1 1 1 3 24 26 -
Trey Thomas * 26 3-11 2-7 0-0 0 2 3 0 0 8 2 -
Jordan Wright 21 3-4 1-1 0-1 7 1 1 1 4 7 9 -
Colin Smith 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Quentin Millora-Brown 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
Paul Lewis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter