🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 63.6% 36.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% - ✓
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 ✓ (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% - ✓
Efficiency 15.5% 84.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 14.9% 85.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 14.7% 85.3% - ✓

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +19 (84-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lofton * 33 3-12 1-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 7 2 -
Riley Kugel * 30 5-12 1-6 6-7 2 1 0 0 2 17 6 -
Will Richard * 25 3-5 0-1 4-4 3 0 2 0 0 10 10 -
Jason Jitoboh * 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Myreon Jones * 23 0-3 0-1 2-3 2 2 0 0 2 2 1 -
Aleksander Szymczyk 20 3-7 2-5 0-0 6 1 4 1 2 8 11 -
Kowacie Reeves 17 2-7 0-1 5-5 1 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
Alex Fudge 17 3-4 0-1 0-2 1 0 1 1 0 6 5 -
Niels Lane 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
CJ Felder 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Denzel Aberdeen 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Trey Bonham 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Black * 35 3-6 1-1 7-8 5 3 3 0 4 14 15 -
Nick Smith Jr. * 32 4-12 0-4 2-2 1 1 2 0 2 10 0 -
Davonte Davis * 22 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 0 2 -
M. Mitchell * 20 5-7 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 2 1 10 16 -
Jordan Walsh * 13 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Ricky Council IV 32 6-10 0-1 3-4 7 1 0 0 2 15 11 -
Jalen Graham 27 12-15 0-1 2-3 7 1 0 2 2 26 19 -
M. Mitchell 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 4 8 -
Derrian Ford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cade Arbogast 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Lawson Blake 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Barry Dunning Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joseph Pinion 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter