Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | -1.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -3 (68-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reeves * | 39 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 38 | 1-13 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jacob Toppin * | 37 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Oscar Tshiebwe * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Chris Livingston * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Lance Ware | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Daimion Collins | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Matthews * | 36 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 34 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Smith * | 33 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Shakeel Moore * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Dashawn Davis * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Eric Reed Jr. | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| William McNair Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Stevenson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter