Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -6 (64-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Moore * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Smith * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Dashawn Davis * | 26 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Matthews * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Eric Reed Jr. | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| William McNair Jr. | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Stevenson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Black * | 39 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Ricky Council IV * | 37 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Davonte Davis * | 37 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 31 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Walsh | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Graham | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter