Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +11 (63-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Brown * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D'Moi Hodge * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Nick Honor * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Sean East II * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Noah Carter * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mohamed Diarra | 24 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Isiaih Mosley | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Kaleb Brown | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mabor Majak | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith * | 35 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 26 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dashawn Davis * | 32 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Matthews * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Shakeel Moore * | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Stevenson | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Eric Reed Jr. | 21 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| William McNair Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter