Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dashawn Davis * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Shakeel Moore * | 36 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Cameron Matthews * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Smith * | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| William McNair Jr. | 20 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Stevenson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Eric Reed Jr. | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Mark Sears * | 36 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Noah Clowney * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Charles Bediako * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaden Bradley * | 12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Quinerly | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Rylan Griffen | 13 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Noah Gurley | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Dominick Welch | 9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Nick Pringle | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Nimari Burnett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter