Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +20 (60-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ Williams * | 38 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Adam Miller * | 34 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Justice Williams * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Reed * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Derek Fountain * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Trae Hannibal | 19 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Cam Hayes | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kendal Coleman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tyrell Ward | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Council IV * | 40 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Davonte Davis * | 40 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Black * | 37 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Walsh * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Jalen Graham | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kamani Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joseph Pinion | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter