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2023-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 66.0% 34.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.8% 31.2% - โœ“
Margin 74.0% 26.0% -5.8 โœ“ (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 74.3% 25.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 92.2% 7.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.2% 9.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.3% 9.7% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers -18 (49-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylin Williams * 33 6-13 1-4 1-1 7 2 0 3 2 14 11 -
Wendell Green Jr. * 29 5-14 1-6 3-3 4 4 2 0 0 14 10 -
Allen Flanigan * 23 3-6 2-3 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 8 9 -
Johni Broome * 22 2-5 0-0 0-2 6 0 2 2 3 4 6 -
Zep Jasper * 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
K.D. Johnson 22 2-7 2-4 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 8 5 -
Dylan Cardwell 18 2-3 0-1 0-2 7 2 0 2 0 4 12 -
Lior Berman 17 3-4 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Tre Donaldson 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 5 -
Yohan Traore 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Adam Miller * 37 2-11 1-8 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 5 -3 -
KJ Williams * 35 7-15 2-5 0-1 8 0 2 2 3 16 10 -
Justice Williams * 31 3-7 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
Derek Fountain * 26 1-6 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 2 1 -
Cam Hayes * 26 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
Trae Hannibal 24 3-11 0-1 10-12 2 1 0 1 1 16 8 -
Jalen Reed 9 0-1 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 1 0 0 6 -
Kendal Coleman 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Tyrell Ward 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Shawn Phillips Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter