Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Jeffries * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Dashawn Davis * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 11-13 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| T. Smith * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Cameron Matthews * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Eric Reed Jr. * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shakeel Moore | 25 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| KeShawn Murphy | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Stevenson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| William McNair Jr. | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Martavious Russell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wendell Green Jr. * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jaylin Williams * | 31 | 8-15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Allen Flanigan * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Johni Broome * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Zep Jasper * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K.D. Johnson | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lior Berman | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tre Donaldson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Yohan Traore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter