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2023-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 66.0% 34.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.1% 33.9% - โœ“
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 โœ“ (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 84.0% 16.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -15 (69-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Sears * 38 7-16 2-4 10-10 4 3 3 0 2 26 18 -
Brandon Miller * 36 3-4 2-2 6-7 4 2 0 2 2 14 16 -
Charles Bediako * 25 4-7 0-1 0-0 6 0 2 0 0 8 9 -
Noah Clowney * 25 5-6 3-4 2-5 5 2 1 1 1 15 17 -
Jaden Bradley * 21 2-9 1-2 0-2 4 3 1 0 2 5 2 -
Noah Gurley 21 1-3 1-3 0-2 6 0 1 1 1 3 7 -
Rylan Griffen 12 1-2 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Quinerly 11 1-4 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 3 4 -2 -
Dominick Welch 9 1-3 0-2 2-4 1 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
Nick Pringle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Davonte Davis * 39 6-17 2-3 2-2 10 3 2 1 0 16 15 -
Anthony Black * 33 2-12 0-3 1-5 5 1 1 0 4 5 -4 -
M. Mitchell * 27 3-5 0-0 4-6 5 1 1 0 3 10 9 -
M. Mitchell * 22 2-2 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 2 1 5 9 -
Jordan Walsh * 17 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Ricky Council IV 36 4-10 0-2 7-9 2 3 1 0 5 15 6 -
Jalen Graham 19 8-10 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 16 12 -
Kamani Johnson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joseph Pinion 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Derrian Ford 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter