Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.0% | 27.0% | -5.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -15 (69-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sears * | 38 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 10-10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| B. Miller * | 36 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| C. Bediako * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| N. Clowney * | 25 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| J. Bradley * | 21 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| N. Gurley | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| R. Griffen | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Quinerly | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| D. Welch | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Pringle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Davis * | 39 | 6-17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| A. Black * | 33 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Walsh * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Council IV | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 6 | - |
| J. Graham | 19 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pinion | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Ford | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter