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2023-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% -
Margin 21.7% 78.3% +7.1 (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Log Adjusted 26.5% 73.5% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +26 (78-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wheeler * 35 7-16 0-2 1-2 2 3 1 0 1 15 4 -
J. Toppin * 25 1-10 1-1 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 3 1 -
C. Livingston * 23 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
C. Wallace * 23 1-13 0-6 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 2 -3 -
O. Tshiebwe * 23 1-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 4 4 0 -
A. Reeves 21 7-13 4-7 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 20 10 -
A. Thiero 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 0 5 -
D. Collins 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 4 4 -
U. Onyenso 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
L. Ware 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Miller * 34 7-15 2-6 3-3 7 0 1 1 1 19 12 -
M. Sears * 31 4-10 2-6 6-8 6 4 6 0 2 16 20 -
C. Bediako * 29 4-6 0-0 1-4 6 2 0 2 2 9 11 -
N. Clowney * 26 2-5 1-2 3-5 6 1 0 0 0 8 10 -
J. Bradley * 22 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 3 1 0 3 6 7 -
J. Quinerly 18 4-7 1-3 3-3 1 2 1 0 0 12 9 -
N. Gurley 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
R. Griffen 12 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
D. Welch 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Pringle 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -

* = starter