Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +13 (72-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Council IV * | 36 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | - |
| J. Walsh * | 32 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Black * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 13-16 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 21 | - |
| D. Davis * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| K. Johnson | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| J. Pinion | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Graham | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Mitchell | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Dunning Jr. | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Ford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Broome * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| W. Green Jr. * | 29 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| C. Moore * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Williams * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Z. Jasper * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Flanigan | 33 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| K.D. Johnson | 20 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| T. Donaldson | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Cardwell | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Y. Traore | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter