Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.9% | 27.1% | -5.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -11 (67-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sears | 36 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Miller | 30 | 7-15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Jaden Bradley | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Noah Clowney | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Nick Pringle | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Rylan Griffen | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Charles Bediako | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Noah Gurley | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Quinerly | 11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Dominick Welch | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Jeffries | 31 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Dashawn Davis | 29 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Eric Reed Jr. | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Shakeel Moore | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Smith | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| KeShawn Murphy | 18 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| William McNair Jr. | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jamel Horton Jr. | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Tyler Stevenson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter