Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Walker * | 38 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Malik Hall * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Mady Sissoko * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Joey Hauser * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Pierre Brooks | 22 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Jaden Akins | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jaxon Kohler | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Strawther * | 37 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Drew Timme * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 4-10 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Rasir Bolton * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Nolan Hickman * | 22 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Anton Watson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Malachi Smith | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Hunter Sallis | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Efton Reid | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ben Gregg | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter