Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Walker * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| A. Hoggard * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 21 | - |
| M. Hall * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| M. Sissoko * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| J. Hauser * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Brooks | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Akins | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Kohler | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Holloman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Strawther * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 22 | - |
| D. Timme * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 38 | - |
| R. Bolton * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| N. Hickman * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Watson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Smith | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - |
| H. Sallis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| E. Reid III | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Gregg | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter