Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -11 (70-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nimari Burnett | 17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Miller * | 35 | 8-19 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Mark Sears * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Noah Clowney * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Charles Bediako * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Nimari Burnett * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Noah Gurley | 25 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jaden Bradley | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Quinerly | 19 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Rylan Griffen | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Pringle | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Brooks | 33 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tyson Walker * | 37 | 9-22 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 8 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Joey Hauser * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Mady Sissoko * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jaxon Kohler | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Carson Cooper | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jason Whitens | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Davis Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter