Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Lady Lions | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.1% | 16.9% | -8.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -19 (49-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Lady Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ciezki | 26 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Marisa | 22 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Brigham | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Williamson | 20 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| L. Kapinus | 20 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| T. Thompson | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Camden | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Campbell | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Cash | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Pinto | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Dia | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Tensaie | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mikkelsen | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Y. Todorova | 25 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | - |
| F. Wittenberg | 23 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Book | 22 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -3 | - |
| A. West | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Doreste | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Guimaraes | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| S. Dethman | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Dunn | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Dila Bayrak | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Chatfield | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Whitfield | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter