Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.0% | 7.0% | -14.3 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. McIntosh | 34 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| P. Tuitele | 28 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Curry | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Ortiz | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Lutje Schipholt | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Martin | 18 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Claudia Langarita | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Amaya Bonner | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Mastrov | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Bush | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ugonne Onyiah | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bamberger | 36 | 9-19 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 9 | - |
| C. Steele | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Wedin | 31 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| L. Hanafin | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Dalton | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mak. Mastora | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Hannah Rapp | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Kirisome | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Garrison | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Wedin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter