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2022-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% - ✓
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.4 ✓ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% - ✓
Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 8.7% 91.3% - ✓

Actual: USC Trojans +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Stevens 39 5-15 0-5 5-6 1 9 4 0 4 15 10 -
John Tonje 36 1-8 0-6 4-6 3 1 2 0 0 6 4 -
Isaiah Rivera 33 3-7 2-5 4-4 5 2 0 0 0 12 12 -
Josiah Strong 28 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 6 5 -
Patrick Cartier 23 8-10 1-2 5-5 3 0 1 0 2 22 14 -
James Moors 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 0 3 -
Baylor Hebb 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Joe Palmer 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Kyle Evans 5 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 1 3 1 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Peterson 35 7-9 1-2 3-5 5 4 2 1 4 18 17 -
Tre White 32 4-6 1-2 1-3 6 3 2 0 2 10 13 -
B. Ellis 32 7-14 4-7 1-3 3 2 2 0 3 19 9 -
Kobe Johnson 30 0-4 0-4 2-2 4 3 1 0 3 2 3 -
R. Waters 18 3-7 1-2 3-4 3 2 0 0 3 10 5 -
J. Morgan 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 4 4 -
Malik Thomas 13 2-2 2-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 6 9 -
K. Wright 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Harrison Hornery 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
Iaroslav Niagu 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Oziyah Sellers 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter