Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +8 (86-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Butler | 35 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| J. Spurgin | 34 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Drake Allen | 33 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Fausett | 32 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| T. Jones | 28 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| C. Healy | 20 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Barnes | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Williams | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Parsa Fallah | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| F. Lemetti | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. da Silva | 35 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| KJ Simpson | 33 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 11-13 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 29 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Hammond III | 22 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Ruffin | 20 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Gabbidon | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| E. Wright | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter