Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears -4 (55-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mason Harrell * | 36 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Tyrel Morgan * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Love * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dylan Dawson * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Davis * | 20 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Drue Drinnon | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Davion Sykes | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Mason | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Davion Coleman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuany Kuany | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devin Askew * | 37 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Sam Alajiki * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Lars Thiemann * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Grant Newell * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kuany Kuany * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Monty Bowser | 25 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Joel Brown | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | - |
| ND Okafor | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Obinna Anyanwu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter