Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.3 | ✗ (21.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -18 (57-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Collins | 31 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| DJ Horne | 30 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Des. Cambridge Jr. | 27 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Warren Washington | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge | 23 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Alonzo Gaffney | 21 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jamiya Neal | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Duke Brennan | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Luther Muhammad | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Nunez | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Enoch Boakye | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhuric Phelps | 33 | 7-18 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | - |
| Samuell Williamson | 31 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Zach Nutall | 29 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Efe Odigie | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Stefan Todorovic | 27 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Smith | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mo Njie | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Emory Lanier | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ricardo Wright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jefferson Koulibaly | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter