Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +16 (84-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Lloyd * | 38 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Cone * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Nik Mains * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Carson Towt * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Xavier Fuller * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Ezekiel Richards | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Keith Haymon | 13 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jack Wistrcill | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Oakland Fort | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Trenton McLaughlin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Diego Campisano | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Collins * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | - |
| DJ Horne * | 29 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge * | 28 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Bagley * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Warren Washington * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Alonzo Gaffney | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Luther Muhammad | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Austin Nunez | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Enoch Boakye | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Duke Brennan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter