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2022-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 58.8% 41.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% - ✓
Margin 60.3% 39.7% -2.3 ✓ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% - ✓
Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 86.5% 13.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 86.6% 13.4% - ✓

Actual: Dayton Flyers -1 (42-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steven Crowl * 32 3-11 0-4 3-4 7 4 0 0 2 9 7 -
Jordan Davis * 32 1-7 0-4 0-0 8 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
Chucky Hepburn * 31 1-10 0-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 2 -4 -
Tyler Wahl * 24 1-8 0-2 1-1 3 0 1 0 3 3 -4 -
Max Klesmit * 22 1-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 2 1 1 3 5 -
Connor Essegian 20 3-6 2-4 5-5 2 0 1 0 1 13 9 -
Carter Gilmore 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Isaac Lindsey 9 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
Markus Ilver 9 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Chris Hodges 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Elvis * 38 7-17 1-7 1-1 8 1 0 1 2 16 7 -
Toumani Camara * 38 2-7 0-3 2-3 11 1 1 1 4 6 9 -
Malachi Smith * 34 1-6 0-4 0-0 9 2 3 1 1 2 10 -
DaRon Holmes II * 33 3-6 0-1 3-5 4 0 0 1 3 9 5 -
R.J. Blakney * 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
Mustapha Amzil 29 3-8 3-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 9 5 -
Mike Sharavjamts 12 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Zimi Nwokeji 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter