Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +11 (88-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McNeil * | 31 | 9-14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Isaac Likekele * | 30 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Bruce Thornton * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Justice Sueing * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Zed Key * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 24 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Tanner Holden | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Felix Okpara | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamont Butler * | 31 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Darrion Trammell * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 18 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Micah Parrish | 23 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| A. Seiko | 22 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jaedon Ledee | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Arop | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
* = starter