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2022-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 35.1% 64.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 15.2% 84.8% - ✓
Margin 3.5% 96.5% +18.2 ✓ (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% - ✓
Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 11.4% 88.6% - ✓

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kino Lilly Jr. 38 4-11 3-7 6-9 1 3 0 0 1 17 9 -
Paxson Wojcik 34 4-13 4-9 1-2 8 4 2 0 4 13 10 -
Nana Owusu-Anane 31 3-6 0-1 2-4 3 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
Kalu Anya 28 2-3 0-0 1-4 5 1 1 1 5 5 5 -
Aaron Cooley 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 2 5 -
Malachi Ndur 19 3-4 0-1 1-3 5 2 0 2 4 7 8 -
Perry Cowan 17 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
Kimo Ferrari 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chase Audige 38 6-15 2-6 10-10 2 1 2 1 4 24 11 -
Boo Buie 35 6-18 1-7 2-2 1 4 1 0 1 15 2 -
Robbie Beran 29 0-4 0-2 3-4 4 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
Matthew Nicholson 27 2-5 0-0 1-2 11 3 1 2 0 5 17 -
Ty Berry 26 4-9 1-3 3-3 5 0 3 0 0 12 11 -
Julian Roper II 19 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 4 5 -
Brooks Barnhizer 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Tydus Verhoeven 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter