Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | -1.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns -7 (78-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman Hawkins | 42 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| T. Shannon Jr. | 35 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jayden Epps | 31 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Mayer | 28 | 8-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| RJ Melendez | 27 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Skyy Clark | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Sencire Harris | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Dainja | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Ty Rodgers | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timmy Allen | 39 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Marcus Carr | 36 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tyrese Hunter | 33 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Sir'Jabari Rice | 30 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Dillon Mitchell | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Brock Cunningham | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Christian Bishop | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Arterio Morris | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Dylan Disu | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter