Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -8 (75-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Miles | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Damion Baugh | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Lampkin Jr. | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 26 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Chuck O'Bannon Jr. | 25 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Emanuel Miller | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Shahada Wells | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| JaKobe Coles | 9 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Cork | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Souleymane Doumbia | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rondel Walker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Nutall | 33 | 7-20 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 2 | - |
| Zhuric Phelps | 31 | 9-23 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 3 | - |
| Efe Odigie | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Samuell Williamson | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Smith | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Stefan Todorovic | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ricardo Wright | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mo Njie | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Emory Lanier | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jefferson Koulibaly | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter