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2022-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 24.7% 75.3% -
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% -
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.4% 51.6% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -1 (63-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Flagler * 33 4-14 2-6 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 11 0 -
F. Thamba * 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 3 2 6 -
LJ Cryer * 27 3-7 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 7 0 -
K. George * 25 6-15 3-8 3-3 6 2 2 0 2 18 11 -
J. Bridges * 21 2-8 1-6 4-4 3 0 0 2 1 9 5 -
D. Bonner 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 0 3 -
C. Lohner 19 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 6 5 -
L. Love 13 4-6 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
J. Ojianwuna 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Hickman * 34 0-8 0-4 0-0 2 8 1 0 3 0 0 -
A. Watson * 31 5-8 0-1 3-8 13 0 3 1 3 13 19 -
D. Timme * 31 3-6 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 2 0 9 11 -
R. Bolton * 26 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 8 -2 -
J. Strawther * 25 3-14 2-7 2-3 10 0 0 0 2 10 4 -
M. Smith 28 5-11 1-4 5-6 2 0 2 0 1 16 8 -
B. Gregg 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 5 5 -
H. Sallis 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
E. Reid III 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter